Thai junta tightens grip on Future Forward

Future Forward Party leader Thanatorn Juangroongruangkit thanks supporters outside Pathumwan police station after hearing sedition charges brought against him by the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO), in Bangkok on 6 April, 2019. (Lillian Suwanrumpha / AFP Photo)

Thailand’s military establishment is intensifying attacks on a young political party that surged in March’s general election and whose 40-year-old leader is the newest symbol of opposition to the junta.

The party, Future Forward, won about 18 percent of votes and is a key part of a coalition trying to prevent the junta’s proxies from forming the next government. The party’s supporters say the military administration is trying to cow opponents and blunt the anti-junta alliance to retain power.

Since the 24 March poll, activists have called for Future Forward to be broken up for being anti-monarchy, a junta legal officer has accused the party’s leader of sedition and the army chief appeared to take a swipe at it.

Thanathorn Juangroongruangkit, the tycoon-turned-politician who heads Future Forward, reported to the police in Bangkok on Saturday and was charged on three counts, including sedition, according to a party official. Thanathorn has rejected the accusations against him and his party.

“Thanathorn and Future Forward represent the political awakening of the young, and the frustration with oligarchic politics of the more than six million people who voted for them,” said Prajak Kongkirati, head of the government and politics department at Thammasat University in Bangkok. “They’re a target because they have emerged as game changers.”

The military government has said that the sedition allegation isn’t a political party case but rather has been made by the junta legal officer in a private capacity.

Power struggle

“They are worried because of how many votes Future Forward amassed,” Thanathorn said in an interview on 4 April. “It’s no surprise they are looking to destroy us. We have a clear stand against opponents of democracy.”

Winthai Suvaree, a spokesman for the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO), the formal name of the military government, said it’s not out to destroy any party.

“Our duty is to take care of the country’s peace and order,” he said. “We’re not targeting or trying to undermine anybody or any political groups.”

Thai politics has been dominated for more than a decade by a duel for power pitting the royalist and military elite against exiled former premier Thaksin Shinawatra and his allies, who draw support from the rural poor.

Thaksin-linked parties prevailed in every election held since 2001, only to be unseated from government by coups or the courts. He remains a divisive figure in Thailand, where he faces jail time for a conviction in a corruption case which he has called politically motivated.

Inconclusive election

The Thaksin-linked Pheu Thai party won the most seats in the March poll and is part of the anti-junta coalition, along with Future Forward, that claims a majority in the lower house of Parliament. But a pro-military party, Phalang Pracharath, received the most votes and says it’s on course to take power.

Clarity on the next administration may not emerge for some weeks as the Election Commission has until 9 May to certify the result of the poll, which Thaksin described as “rigged.” The commission has said it’s found no reasons to invalidate the election, which followed almost five years of military rule.

A junta-appointed Senate as well as the elected lower house will vote on who becomes prime minister, giving the military’s allies the upper hand.

Another party linked to Thaksin was disbanded ahead of the election for nominating a Thai princess as its prime ministerial candidate, an act deemed hostile to the constitutional monarchy.

Dissolution risk

Some wonder if dissolution lies ahead for Future Forward too, after activists submitted a petition to the Election Commission to disband the party for allegedly trying to subvert the monarchy, which is officially treated as semi-divine. The party says it supports the constitutional monarchy.

In a rare briefing, Army chief Apirat Kongsompong on 2 April pledged to defend the monarchy and criticised foreign-educated people with “leftist ideas,” a statement some viewed as directed at Future Forward’s Secretary General Piyabutr Saengkanokkul, who studied law in France.

“It can’t be any clearer that Apirat’s comments were directed straight at Future Forward,” Thanathorn said in the 4 April interview.

Winthai, the spokesman for the NCPO, said Apirat’s comments were well-intentioned and not directed at anyone in particular.

Social media

Thanathorn used a savvy social-media campaign to help build the party’s following, and some supporters even call him “Daddy.” His key message is ending army rule, rewriting the military-drafted constitution and preventing future coups.

The party, formed in March 2018, placed third in terms of votes and projected parliamentary seats. Its other major policies include giving regional governments more control over spending, and breaking up entrenched oligopolies.

Thanathorn and other Future Forward members could also face prosecution under Thailand’s Computer Crimes Act for allegedly spreading false information, accusations they deny. The charges against Thanathorn for online commentary criticising the junta are an example of unfair curbs on free speech, according to Human Rights Watch.

"We knew that sooner or later this will happen," Thanathorn said during a party rally on 3 April after receiving the police summons over sedition. "But we’ll keep going forward." - Bloomberg