Geopolitics

The problem with the repatriation of Rohingya refugees

On 6 June 2018, the government of Myanmar and the United Nations (UN) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on assistance for the repatriation of displaced persons from Rakhine State. Ever since the latest round of violence against the Rohingya occurred in August last year, more than 650,000 Rohingya refugees have fled Myanmar, crossing the border into Cox’s Bazar in Bangladesh.

7 June 2018
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Is Beijing unstoppable in the South China Sea?

Verbal warnings, strongly worded statements and freedom of navigation operations (FONOPs) – all seem to have fallen on deaf ears as Beijing continues its pursuit of militarising islands in the disputed South China Sea.Last week during Asia’s premier defence summit, the Shangri-La Dialogue, United States (US) Secretary of Defense, James Mattis called out China for their assertive actions.

6 June 2018
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Trump wants Kim to commit to disarmament timetable in Singapore

The White House wants North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to commit to a timetable to surrender his country’s nuclear arsenal when he meets United States (US) President Donald Trump next week in Singapore, a high-stakes summit that could last as long as two days – or just minutes.Trump has been advised not to offer Kim any concessions, as the White House seeks to put the onus on the North Koreans to make the summit a success, one US official said.

6 June 2018
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West Papua's struggle for liberation

Located on the greater New Guinea Island, West Papua is neighbour to the sovereign state of Papua New Guinea. Formerly known as Irian Jaya, it was annexed by Indonesia in 1963, a move formalised six years later with a widely discredited vote known as the Act of Free Choice, which was supervised by the United Nations (UN). Only 1,063 people voted, most of whom were selected by the military and compelled to vote in favour of Indonesian annexation.

5 June 2018
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Can ASEAN be counted on when it matters?

The concept of centrality has seen a resurgence in use during the past few days, featuring prominently in the speeches and comments made during the recently concluded Shangri-La Dialogue (SLD).

4 June 2018
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Asia sees China and US as threats

For many United States (US) allies, Secretary of Defense James Mattis is the last of the Trump administration’s so-called grownups in the room. At Asia’s main annual security forum he got a warm reception for his firm defense of the rules-based order the US helped to build after World War II.Increasingly, though, Mattis’s reassurance is not enough.

4 June 2018
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Passage of Bangsamoro Basic Law is a step towards peace

Just a few days before the 17th Congress of the Philippines went on break, history was made on 31 May when the Philippines senate unanimously approved the proposed Bangsamoro Basic Law. Hours earlier, the House of Representatives approved its own version of the BBL bill with a 221 to 11 vote. The BBL seeks to establish a proposed new autonomous political entity known as the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region, replacing the current Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM).

3 June 2018
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Mattis warns China over South China Sea moves

United States (US) Secretary of Defense James Mattis said the world would have to deal with China’s militarisation of the South China Sea for now, but that Beijing would face “larger consequences” in the long term that could persuade it to change track.Beijing’s deployments of missile batteries and bombers to outposts in disputed areas appear aimed at intimidating neighbours, Mattis told delegates on Saturday at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) Shangri-La Dialogue in S

3 June 2018
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ASEAN and the EU: Like two peas in the same pod?

“The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) was never an integration project but a sovereignty upholding project,” said Michael Vatikiotis, Regional Director for the Asia Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue at an ASEAN Roundtable held in Singapore last year.The comparison of ASEAN to the European Union (EU) is a thought exercise that many, would have no doubt contemplated for obvious reasons.

2 June 2018
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India's Modi threads path between rising China, uncertain US

United States (US) Defense Secretary James Mattis described India as the “fulcrum’’ of security in the Indo-Pacific region as he traveled this week to an annual security conference in Singapore, attended for the first time by an Indian leader.But if Mattis was hoping that Prime Minister Narendra Modi would use the platform to join the US, Japan and Australia - a grouping known as the Quad - in a more muscular challenge to China’s regional expansion, he was disappointed.

2 June 2018
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Can the millennial wave shape the future of Indonesian politics?

The younger generation in Indonesia want their voices heard. And the chance to do so will come when they head to the polls - once this year for local elections and again in 2019 for legislative and Presidential elections which take place concurrently. Millennial voters remain a critical demography in Southeast Asia’s largest democracy. Since 2004, the youth voter bank – accounting for people between the ages of 17 and 25 – has increased from 18 to 30 percent.

1 June 2018
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What a Trump-Kim deal may look like

The on-again, off-again summit between United States (US) President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un now appears increasingly likely to take place but it’s not yet clear what kind of agreement, if any, the two leaders will be able to reach.North Korea has ruled out the so-called “Libya model” where it loads its nuclear program onto planes bound for the US right away, with Kim saying Thursday the issue should be “solved on a stage-by-stage basis.” Trump insists that the end goa

1 June 2018
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