Geopolitics

China's “Belt & Road” gains momentum from Kunming to Mombasa

China’s massive build program to recreate trade routes stretching from Asia to Africa and Europe is gaining momentum.Since President Xi Jinping’s flagship Belt and Road project was announced about five years ago, it gave impetus to billions of dollars of Chinese investment – some of which were already in the pipeline for several years – to build railways, roads, ports and power plants.Here’s a quick take on what Xi describes as the ‘project of the century’The program isn’t without controversy

11 April 2018
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Lesser known border tensions between Cambodia and Vietnam

Cambodia-Vietnam relations have always been enveloped by the shadows of a bloody past. This past refers to the Cambodian-Vietnamese War which was an armed conflict between then Democratic Kampuchea and the Socialist Republic of Vietnam. From 1975 to 1977, isolated clashes along the land and maritime borders proved to be a hallmark of this bloodbath, sporadically resulting in division-sized military formations.

9 April 2018
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Will Indonesia renegotiate its maritime borders with Australia?

Australia’s recent maritime border treaty with Timor-Leste could open a new can of worms for Australia as Indonesia may use Timor-Leste’s recent victory at The Hague to renegotiate Indonesian-Australian maritime boundaries. Last month saw Timor-Leste and Australia finally reaching an agreement over the maritime border between the two nations following a 15-year dispute.

7 April 2018
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Who is Myanmar’s new president?

On 28 March 2018, Myanmar’s parliament elected Win Myint as the country’s next president. Win Myint was made president after the resignation of his predecessor, Htin Kyaw the week before Win Myint was elected. Htin Kyaw did not explain his reason for resigning but many believe it was due to his poor health.

5 April 2018
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Trump, Xi wait to see who blinks first as trade fight heats up

The leaders of the world’s two biggest economies are waiting to see who backs down after firing the opening shots in a trade war. U.S. President Donald Trump took aim at China’s plans to dominate strategic technologies Tuesday by slapping tariffs on 1,333 of the country’s products – from semiconductors to lithium batteries. Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping’s government hit back with proposed levies on key American imports including soybeans and Boeing Co.

5 April 2018
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Addressing the thorn in the region’s flesh

The South China Sea dispute has for the longest time been a thorn in the flesh of relations between claimant Southeast Asian states and China – and for good reason. It is one of the key arteries of global trade, carrying an estimated one third of global shipping amounting to trillions of dollars. It is also rich in hydrocarbon resources.

2 April 2018
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Will hard-line Islamism influence Indonesia’s elections?

The largest democracy in Southeast Asia is gearing up for its upcoming elections season. Indonesians will go to the polls twice, once this year and once again in the following year. The country’s local elections will be held first and is slated for 27 June, this year. These elections are being held to elect 17 governors, 39 mayors and 115 regents across Indonesia. Meanwhile, the Presidential elections will be held on 17 April, 2019.

30 March 2018
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What to make of Kim’s visit to China

North Korean dictator, Kim Jong Un’s first foreign trip saw him take a bulletproof train to neighbouring China where he received a lavish welcome from Chinese president, Xi Jinping. Kim’s trip was kept under wraps until it was announced after Kim and his delegation had returned to Pyongyang.The North Korean leader’s visit comes before the proposed summit between the United States (US) and South Korea which is expected to take place in May.

29 March 2018
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Vietnam and Australia deepen cooperation on security and trade

Vietnam and Australia’s strategic partnership marks a new chapter in their 45-year relationship and could help bolster each country’s stand on the South China Sea dispute. The strategic partnership deal was signed during Vietnamese prime minister, Nguyen Xuan Phuc’s visit to Australia ahead of the ASEAN-Australia Special Summit on 15 March.

28 March 2018
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Martial law in the Philippines: When will it end?

In December 2017, the president of the Philippines, Rodrigo Duterte requested to extend martial law on the southern island of Mindanao for another year. Citing the need to fight Islamist terrorists and communists, martial law would need to be extended until the end of 2018. “There is a need for me to come up with something, otherwise Mindanao will blow apart,” Duterte told the media then.

26 March 2018
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Is joint exploration the answer to the South China Sea dispute?

In a Utopian world, an obvious solution to the South China Sea dispute would be for the nations involved to align their interests together and jointly pursue maritime exploration of the area. In fact, the idea was once mooted by former Secretary General of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the late Surin Pitsuwan who advocated a two-pronged approach to conflict resolution.

25 March 2018
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Fortifying ASEAN against a potential global trade war

United States (US) president, Donald Trump’s imposition of at least US$60 million worth of tariffs on China’s products has already prompted signs of Chinese retaliation, something that could result in a trade war between the two nations. Trump’s earlier proposals to impose a 25 percent tariff on steel and a 10 percent tariff on aluminium imports has already sparked a global uproar. Spill-over effects from a likely trade war could impact Southeast Asia too.

24 March 2018
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