United States

Who benefits from Trump’s trade war?

In 1950, the Canadian-born Princeton University economist Jacob Viner explained a customs union produces a “trade creation” effect, as lower tariffs and non-tariff barriers spur increased flows of goods among member countries. But Viner noted that a customs union also generates a “trade diversion” effect, as countries that are not part of it face reductions in their trade with countries that are.

2 January 2019
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Is Beijing unstoppable in the South China Sea?

Verbal warnings, strongly worded statements and freedom of navigation operations (FONOPs) – all seem to have fallen on deaf ears as Beijing continues its pursuit of militarising islands in the disputed South China Sea.Last week during Asia’s premier defence summit, the Shangri-La Dialogue, United States (US) Secretary of Defense, James Mattis called out China for their assertive actions.

24 December 2018
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China’s South China Sea grab

It has been just five years since China initiated its major land reclamation in the South China Sea, and the country has already shifted the territorial status quo in its favour – without facing any international pushback. The anniversary of the start of its island building underscores the transformed geopolitics in a corridor central to the international maritime order.

16 December 2018
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Prospects for US-China relations in 2019

Throughout 2018, much of Asia has been shaken by the new and increasingly unpredictable dynamics in Sino-American relations. One year ago, United States (US) President Donald Trump returned from Beijing after his “state-plus” visit, which China hoped had finally laid his anti-Chinese campaign rhetoric to rest.

16 December 2018
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Is The Quad Still Relevant?

Southeast Asia has been a significant venue for strategic competition between the United States (US) and China for a long time.Given US President Donald Trump’s recent trend of policies towards the region, the US has seemed to adopt a more hands-off approach to the region.

5 December 2018
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China deserves its economic success

In the 1940s, the British historian Arnold J. Toynbee predicted that the United States (US) and the Soviet Union would remain the world’s only two great powers.

2 December 2018
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Policing The South China Sea

At the recently concluded 33rd ASEAN Summit, ASEAN member states expressed their desire to complete the Single Draft Negotiating Text for the Code of Conduct (COC) by next year to resolve the maritime dispute in the South China Sea.

21 November 2018
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Environment and economy are great-power pawns

In recent years, we have seen the renewal of a phenomenon that seemed to have passed into history with the end of the Cold War: fierce and potentially violent competition between the most powerful countries on the globe.

20 November 2018
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US and China in APEC cruise ship clash

China and the United States (US) crossed swords Saturday ahead of an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, duelling over protectionism, trade tariffs and "chequebook diplomacy" as they laid out sharply contrasting visions for the Pacific Rim region.In combative back-to-back speeches at a business forum held on a hulking cruise ship moored in Port Moresby, Xi Jinping and US Vice President Mike Pence pulled few punches.The feisty exchanges laid the ground for what could be

18 November 2018
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Being pro-active in the South China Sea

Over the past five years, issues in the South China Sea have only grown more complex. Claiming a historical right over most of the South China Sea and disregarding the Philippines’ victory against its claims at the Permanent Court of Arbitration, China’s presence in these disputed waters has become more prominent.

25 October 2018
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The end of America’s China fantasy

A long-overdue shift in America’s China policy is underway. After decades of “constructive engagement” – an approach that has facilitated China’s rise, even as the country has violated international rules and norms – the United States (US) is now seeking active and concrete counter-measures.

23 October 2018
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